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利率市场化对于中国银行业的影响

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28 November 2016

Interest Rate Liberalization in China

Abstract

利率市场化就是将利率的决定权交给市场,让市场来决定利率水平。目前,中国的金融市场上,除存贷款基准利率还受政府管制之外,其它利率都已由市场生成。而且就算是存贷款利率,商业银行也可以围绕基准利率在一个相当大的区间内自由浮动。

在新报告,利率市场化对于中国银行业的影响,Celent分析了利率市场化对银行收益、业务和风险管理方面的影响。利率市场化将会使得银行面对更大的利率波动,从而增加银行业的利率风险,使得银行对于利率风险的工具需求上升。另外一方面,利率市场化也会加剧银行业的竞争,使得存贷利差空间缩小,影响信贷的扩张、增加银行的信用风险、对于中间业务的发展需求增加。

“未来,风险定价将会成为银行的核心能力,差异化经营会成为大多数中小银行的发展方式。为了应对利率市场化带来的挑战,Celent给银行如下建议:提高风险定价能力、通过网上银行、社区银行来低利息吸收存款、差异化经营、多元化经营、发展理财业务和发展高收益业务。”张华说,Celent分析师,同时也该报告的作者。

这篇报告描述了利率市场化对银行在利润结构、风险管理和差异化经营方面的影响。

This 14-page report contains two figures and five tables.