Money Market Reform: The Uncertain Future of the Money Market Fund

by Scott Sullivan, March 14, 2012
Industry Trends
North America

Abstract

The SEC has already drastically reduced money market fund risk with its changes to Rule 2a-7 in 2010. The changes dramatically increased the liquidity of funds and took away most of the risks that funds faced in 2008. However, the SEC could be going too far by considering a floating NAV.

In response to the financial crisis of 2008, the SEC enacted a number of changes, included addressing liquidity by, among other things, shortening the weighted average maturity (WAM) of securities from 90 to 60 days and increasing the amount of cash and securities maturing in one day to 10%. So-called “second tier securities” were previously allowed to compose up to 5% of a fund's assets. This limit has now been lowered to 3%.

In a new report, Money Market Reform: The Uncertain Future of the Money Market Fund, Celent explores the new rules the SEC is still looking at, which include implementing a floating NAV, imposing capital cushion requirements, and restricting redemptions limitations by requiring a waiting period of 30 days to receive full funds.

“A floating NAV will negate the entire incentive that investors have to buy and sell these funds and ultimately eliminate the $2.7 trillion industry,” says Scott Sullivan, Senior Analyst at Celent and author of the report. “Healthy and vibrant markets are largely driven by positive economic activity; however, positive economic activity tends to occur only when there is certainty. The sheer number of proposed regulatory changes, combined with poorly defined timelines and the possibility of still more changes in the near future, could stifle economic progress and counteract earlier positive reforms.”

“Money market funds managed 25% of short-term assets for business in the US, down from a high of 36% in 2008. If the floating of these funds’ NAV were to disrupt this industry, the possible repercussions on investors and even our monetary system could be disastrous.”

In this report, Celent examines the future of the money market fund industry. As it stands now, the economics of running a money market fund are limited. Low rates have effectively eliminated fees, and new regulations would increase the cost of administering each fund. If all proposed rules by the SEC including a floating NAV are adopted, it will jeopardize a large piece of the monetary system, the effects of which no one can predict.

Celent is a research and advisory firm dedicated to helping financial institutions formulate comprehensive business and technology strategies. Celent publishes reports identifying trends and best practices in financial services technology and conducts consulting engagements for financial institutions looking to use technology to enhance existing business processes or launch new business strategies. With a team of internationally based analysts, Celent is uniquely positioned to offer strategic advice and market insights on a global basis. Celent is a member of the Oliver Wyman Group, which is a wholly-owned operating unit of Marsh & McLennan Companies [NYSE: MMC].

Media Contacts

North America
Michele Pace
mpace@celent.com
Tel: +1 212 345 1366

Europe (London)
Chris Williams
cwilliams@celent.com
Tel: +44 (0)782 448 3336

Asia (Tokyo)
Yumi Nagaoka
ynagaoka@celent.com
Tel.: +81 3 3500 3023

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

3

Introduction

5

 

The Financial Crisis and the Money Market Industry

7

 

CPFF: Commercial Paper Funding Facility

10

 

The Beginning: The Economics of Why Money Funds Exist

12

 

Risk: The Mechanics Behind Money Market Risk

12

 

Mutual Fund Reform: The SEC Money Market Fund Reform Rules, Effective May 2010

13

 

The Industry: The Economics and Size Behind the Money Market Fund Industry

16

Conclusion: Considering Money Market Reform in the Context of the Present Environment

17

Leveraging Celent’s Expertise

19

 

Support for Financial Institutions

19

 

Support for Vendors

19

Related Celent Research

20

Sign in to download reports and access personalized information